Tight night and lucky sevens
Mar 15, 2007 in Cash games, Hold'em
Mar 15, 2007 in Cash games, Hold'em
Mar 06, 2007 in Game Write-ups, General, Hold'em
Popped into Loose Cannon last night for some Monday night cash game action. PL Hold’em with unusually small 50p/50p blinds. One aggressive player (who of course I sat to the immediate left of) and another four tight passive players made for a great opportunity to try out a much more loose-aggressive style I’ve been planning – basically raise any pairs, one gappers or suited cards from any position when not facing a raise in front (yes, it’s quite a departure from my normal game).
An interesting hand developed about an hour in, by which point I’d established myself as a bit of a maniac, albeit one who’d built his £100 stack into £150 with a fair degree of ease. Thought it was worth sharing as it illustrated a concept I’ve not run into previously.
Aggressive player under the gun flat calls the BB, I throw in a moderate raise with K6s (clubs), get a call from tight-passive to my left, rest of the table folds. Flop comes 2c 3c 6h. Beauty, I’ve got a great flush draw, top pair, an overcard -Â and they can’t put me on anything due to my erratic play.
On the flop the pot size is about £6, Aggressive bets £3, I raise it up to £6, Tight calls and Aggressive calls the final £3, taking the pot up to £24. At this stage it’s worth commenting that I have everyone covered, but we all still have a fair stack left in play.
Turn is the 5c giving me the king flush and a gutshot straight-flush draw. Aggressive checks, I bet £10, Tight flat-calls, Aggressive then makes it a check-raise of another £20. At this point I should be putting Aggressive on the nut flush, but to be honest I just couldn’t credit it, he’d been overplaying quite a few hands, and so I figured I still had the winner and flat called the raise myself hoping to lure another £20 from Tight to my left. Tight then completely changes my view of who has what by moving all-in for his final £58.
Interesting, so Tight MUST have the ace-flush, there’s really nothing else he’d have played in that way. Aggressive calls the raise, and has another £50 or so in front of him. I’ve got them covered, but now comes my interesting quandry.
Let’s summarise: there’s about £230 in the pot, Aggressive and I have another £50 that can be bet, I’m certain that the all-in tight player has the nut-flush, meaning that Aggressive can only really have a set, probably 6’s (and I have the case 6). The action is to me, I should probably fold my king flush, but it might still be good. I’m 95% sure the the all-in player has the nut flush, but he may be making a move with the queen flush, given that I’m playing so wild. Whatever happens I still have one nut out (the 4c for the straight-flush to the 6).
But then let’s look to the right for a moment. If Tight has the nut flush, I MUST be beating Aggressive at the moment. It’s £58 to call the raise, but Aggressive is REALLY REALLY looking like he’s going to call if I put him all-in for that final £50. Unless the board pairs on the end, perhaps I can think of this as an £8 call. My one-outer looks pretty good when the price is £8 to win a pot of £300+. Given what I know about the other cards that are out, Aggressive has about 9 outs to scoop if the board pairs. That’s about a 25% shot, meaning that the other 75% of the time I’ll claim back the bulk of my £58 call from the side-pot that I’ll win.
I didn’t think all the way though the detailed maths at the table, this is about as far as I got, at which point I surmised that it was worth making the all-in move.
True to form, Aggressive calls. The board comes a blank on the river, Tight takes the main pot with the nut-flush and I take the £100 side pot with the second nut flush. I ask Aggressive which set he had, and he tells the table he was playing the straight (I guess something like 44, as he didn’t play it like he flopped the straight with 45). Not a particularly great play from Aggressive at all, as it turned-out my £100 was completely safe, but that’s what you can generally expect at these low limit games.
Comments welcomed, perhaps someone can tidy-up the maths and let me know if it really was a bad play to jam on the turn, given that I was risking £108 if the board paired. Honestly though, I was certain that Aggressive was going to call the final raise, so you can factor that out of the equation.
fLuke.